DMH Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 RealClearPolitics coverage of the 2016 election cycle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMH Posted March 3 Author Share Posted March 3 DNC Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-FL) speaks to the press regarding a possible loyalty pledge. Talk of Loyalty Pledge Within Democratic Primary Field Divides Opinion - Q1, 2016 Washington D.C. - Following a public statement following a meeting of the DNC Executive Committee, DNC Chairwoman and Congresswoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-FL) has confirmed that the DNC is looking into the possibility of putting forward a loyalty pledge. This comes following a public call for a loyalty pledge from Washington Senator Heather James (D-WA) and concerns among voters that the crowded Democratic field could weaken the eventual nominee if supporters of former candidates stay home or vote third party. A potential loyalty pledge would require all Democratic presidential candidates to rally behind the eventual nominee. Supporters of such a pledge point to the divisive 1992 and 2008 Democratic presidential primaries as examples of concerns at the time that voters would not show up to the polls after their own candidate failed to win the nomination. This concern was prevalent in 2008 in particular with various polling showing a significant number of then-Senator Hillary Clinton (D-NY) supporters would not back then-Senator Barack Obama (D-IL) after it became clear he would be the nominee. This concern eventually did not materialize as the former rivals reconciled. "I think it's a no-brainer," said veteran Democratic strategist James Carville when asked about a pledge on MSNBC. "I think you gotta be a damn idiot to not support the eventual nominee." A potential loyalty pledge would also require all Democratic presidential candidates, should they win the nomination, run and serve as a registered Democrat. Not since the election of 1872 has the Democratic Party nominee not been a registered Democrat. "Democratic voters expect their nominee to be a Democrat," said former DNC Chairwoman Donna Brazile. "Why we are even talking about this is beyond me. The Democratic Party should be led by a Democrat." Current polling of likely Democratic primary voters does indicate that a majority of voters prefer their nominee be a registered Democrat, but support for a registered Independent has seen an uptick in favorable opinion when compared to previous cycles. Experts have identified the shifting dynamics within the Democratic Party during the Obama Administration, particular a rise in growing progressive voices. Progressive Democratic party officials have been quick to express opposition to this aspect of the pledge, pointing to the campaign of Independent Senator Camilo deSonido (I-CA) as the candidate most impacted by such a move. Online leftist forums have seen an increase in discourse theorizing that a loyalty pledge is a ploy to derail the campaign of Senator deSonido by the DNC. On his popular podcast, leftist commentator Kyle Kulinski told his listeners, "We all can see what the DNC is trying to do. I don't believe for one second that the DNC out of the blue wants all candidates to sign a loyalty pledge! If I was the deSonido Campaign, I would call this out!" Other progressive voices have been more moderate in their approach, calling for more debate within the DNC to allow them to emphasize the negative perception such a pledge could have with left-wing voters to undecided DNC members. "I am certainly curious to see how a possible loyalty pledge by the DNC impacts the 2016 race," said Professor Larry Sabato when asked about how a loyalty pledge could shake up the Democratic primary. "It's clear that Democrats are at a turning point after eight years of Barack Obama. Holding the White House is naturally the top priority of the DNC. Could this primary get nasty, it's too early to tell but with such a crowded field, it becomes difficult to assume things won't get ugly in the coming weeks as candidates set themselves apart from one another." Some pundits of the media have turned to the RNC following loyalty pledge talk and have openly questioned whether or not they should also consider a loyalty pledge. "Look, the current 2016 field is impressive but so was the field in 2012 and 2008 when candidates left the general election nominee undoubtedly damaged," said conservative Fox News commentator and Pulitzer Price winning writer Charles Krauthammer. "John McCain and Mitt Romney may have benefitted from a loyalty pledge instead of the bloodbath that was their primaries. With such a crowded field, Republican voters are rightfully concerned that another brutal primary could leave their nominee in a weaker position than the Democrats for the third time in a row." 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMH Posted March 4 Author Share Posted March 4 Pro-statehood demonstrators rally in San Juan, Puerto Rico. Upcoming Primaries Put Puerto Rico and American Samoa into Historic Political Focus - Q1, 2016 San Juan, PR - Officials in Puerto Rico and American Samoa are preparing for the expected increased exposure to issues both island territories are facing as they are slated to be consequential primaries in 2016. Past Republican and Democrat primaries in both territories have been a mostly muted affair. Local leaders and citizens alike believe 2016 could be a major change from past nominating cycles. "I think you are going to see Puerto Rico matter in this upcoming primary calendar," said Puerto Rican Governor Alejandro García Padilla (PD-PR). "Puerto Rico has pressing issues, ranging from the repeal of the Jones Act to our future as a territory, that oftentimes find themselves on the back burner. 2016 is looking to be something different." Voters in Puerto Rico have already been receiving more attention than normal at this time in previous cycles. The island continues to struggle with financial woes, infrastructure problems, an outdated energy grid, and other issues that have led to a record number of Puerto Ricans moving to the mainland United States, with a large population emerging in the Central Florida region. Independence and statehood both are on the minds of Puerto Rican voters as primary day nears. While independence has largely fizzled out as a major driving force within Puerto Rican politics, statehood has become a more prevalent issue in recent years as Puerto Ricans have signaled interest in exploring possible statehood. "I believe the time could be coming when Puerto Rico will finally get an up or down on statehood and Congress actually approves it," remarked college student Josefina Montez outside the University of Puerto Rico at Rio Piedras. American Samoa has also benefitted from increased exposure as the primary season begins. With a population of roughly 55,000 and dependent on federal appropriations, the territory is notable for its strong military presence. In fact, American Samoa consistently enlists more soldiers per capita than any other United States territory or state. When asked about the impact of the upcoming primaries, Governor Lolo Matalasi Moliga (D-AS) stated, "American Samoa will benefit from the next potential future leader taking a serious look at our territory. The development, growth, and strategic military success in American Samoa will be dependent on federal support in the coming years." Polling has been scarce regarding which candidates may be more viable than others in either territory as much focus remains on the early primary states of Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina. Puerto Rico and American Samoa both having a potentially decisive role in deciding the outcome of the current primary cycle will no doubt make the territories destinations for candidates hoping to march on to November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 PRE-PRIMARY FUNDRAISING DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL PRE-PRIMARY FUNDING Doug Murphy raised $30,000,000.00 from unions, minority (black) groups, and mining companies. Diego Everhart raised $28,000,000.00 from unions, Xiomara de la Cruz raised $14,000,000.00 from progressive voters and grassroots activists. John Carlsen raised $25,250,000.00 from AIPAC, the oil and gas industry, and small business owners. Camilo deSonido raised $15,000,000.00 from progressive voters and grassroots activists. Julius Tuck raised $11,000,000.00 from grassroots voters. REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL PRE-PRIMARY FUNDING Elizabeth McCord raised $28,250,000.00 from Lockheed Martin PAC, grassroots activists, and other defense industry PACs. Charles Walker raised $31,500,000.00 from ExxonMobil PAC, General Dynamics PAC, and grassroots activists. David Rollins raised $27,000,000.00 from rich Republican donors, traditional Republicans, and the agriculture industry. George Kuykendall raised $17,000,000.00 from AIPAC and grassroots activists. Diane Delorean raised $15,000,000.00 from young voters, private equity firms, and general Republicans. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack Posted March 7 Share Posted March 7 2016 Presidential Pre-Primary Polls | November 2015 November, 2015 | President: Democratic Primary, National NOVEMBER TO DECEMBER, 2015 Doug Murphy . . . 19% Diego Everhart . . .17% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 13% John Carlsen . . .11% Camilo deSonido . . . 9% Julius Tuck . . . 7% MoE of 4% (+/-) SAMPLE OF RECENT POLLS NBC/WSJ: Murphy +2 CNN/SSRS: Murphy +1 November, 2015 | President: Democratic Primary, Iowa NOVEMBER TO DECEMBER, 2015 Doug Murphy . . . 21% John Carlsen . . . 18% Camilo deSonido . . . 16% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 11% Diego Everhart . . . 8% Julius Tuck . . . 5% MoE of 4% (+/-) November, 2015 | President: Democratic Primary, New Hampshire NOVEMBER TO DECEMBER, 2015 Doug Murphy . . . 20% Diego Everhart . . . 17% John Carlsen . . . 15% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 13% Camilo deSonido . . . 9% Julius Tuck . . . 7% MoE of 4% (+/-) November, 2015 | President: Democratic Primary, South Carolina NOVEMBER TO DECEMBER, 2015 Diego Everhart . . . 17% Camilo deSonido . . . 15% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 13% Julius Tuck . . . 10% Doug Murphy . . . 8% John Carlsen . . . 7% MoE of 4% (+/-) November, 2015 | President: Democratic Primary, Nevada NOVEMBER TO DECEMBER, 2015 Doug Murphy . . . 25% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 19% Camilo deSonido . . . 12% Diego Everhart . . . 8% John Carlsen . . . 7% Julius Tuck . . . 5% MoE of 4% (+/-) November 2015 | President: Republican Primary, National NOVEMBER TO DECEMBER, 2015 Elizabeth McCord . . . 21% Charles Walker . . . 19% David Rollins . . . 19% George Kuykendall . . . 14% Diane Delorean . . . 10% MoE of 4% (+/-) SAMPLE OF RECENT POLLS Fox News: McCord +1 CNN/SSRS: Mccord +2 November, 2023 | President: Republican Caucus, Iowa NOVEMBER TO DECEMBER, 2015 Charles Walker . . . 20% David Rollins . . . 19% George Kuykendall . . . 17% Elizabeth McCord . . . 11% Diane Delorean . . . 19% MoE of 4% (+/-) November 2023 | President: Republican Primary, New Hampshire NOVEMBER TO DECEMBER, 2015 David Rollins . . .22% Charles Walker . . . 18% Diane Delorean . . . 17% Elizabeth McCord . . . 15% George Kuykendall . . . 11% MoE of 4% (+/-) November 2023 | President: Republican Primary, South Carolina NOVEMBER TO DECEMBER, 2015 Elizabeth McCord . . . 22% Charles Walker . . . 19% David Rollins . . . 16% George Kuykendall . . . 14% Diane Delorean . . . 11% MoE of 4% (+/-) November 2023 | President: Republican Primary, Nevada NOVEMBER TO DECEMBER, 2015 Elizabeth McCord . . . 27% David Rollins . . . 16% Charles Walker . . . 13% George Kuykendall . . . 13% Diane Delorean . . . 11% MoE of 4% (+/-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMH Posted March 8 Author Share Posted March 8 PRE-PRIMARY ENDORSEMENTS Who's Supporting Who? Senator Elizabeth McCord picked up the endorsement of Governor Brian Sandoval (R-NV), Congressman Trey Gowdy (R-SC-04), and former Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger (R-CA) Former General Charles Walker picked up the endorsement of Governor Greg Abbott (R-TX), Congressman Joe Wilson (R-SC-02), and former 2008 Republican Vice Presidential Nominee and Governor Sarah Palin (R-AK) Senator David Rollins picked up the endorsement of the Iowa Farm Bureau, Senator Chuck Grassley (R-IA), and Senator Kelly Ayotte (R-NH) Senator George Kuykendall picked up the endorsement of Gun Owners of America, Congressman Rod Blum (R-IA-01), and former Governor and Congressman Mark Sanford (R-SC) Senator Diane Delorean picked up the endorsement of Senator Joni Ernst (R-IA), Congressman Frank Guinta (R-NH-01), and Congresswoman Kristi Noem (R-SD-AL) Senator Doug Murphy picked up the endorsement of Senator Harry Reid (D-NV), Congressman Dave Loebsack (D-IA-02), and former Governor and DNC Chairman Howard Dean (D-VT) Senator Diego Everhart picked up the endorsement of the Service Employees International Union (SEIU), Reverend Jesse Jackson, and Congresswoman Annie Kuster (D-NH-02) Mayor Xiomara de la Cruz picked up the endorsement of the Culinary Workers Union, Congresswoman Dina Titus (D-NV-01), and Charleston Mayor Joseph P. Riley Jr. (D-SC) Senator John Carlsen picked up the endorsement of former Governor Evan Bayh (D-IN), Senator Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH), and former White House Chief of Staff Erskine Bowles (D-NC) Senator Camilo deSonido picked up the endorsement of Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT), activist Dolores Huerta, and former NAACP President Ben Jealous (D-MD) Former Ambassador Julius Tuck picked up the endorsement of political strategist Paul Begala, former White House official and comedian Kal Penn, and Congressman Keith Ellison (D-MN-05) 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMH Posted March 12 Author Share Posted March 12 2016 EARLY PRIMARY STATE RESULTS IOWA REPUBLICAN CAUCUS | 30 DELEGATES David Rollins . . . 31.7% [10 delegates] Charles Walker . . . 27.6% [8 delegates] Katherine McCord . . . 20.8% [6 delegates] George Kuykendall . . . 19.9% [6 delegates] NEW HAMPSHIRE REPUBLICAN PRIMARY | 23 DELEGATES David Rollins . . . 34.4% [8 delegates] Charles Walker . . . 29.8% [7 delegates] Katherine McCord . . . 19.3% [4 delegates] George Kuykendall . . . 16.5% [4 delegates] SOUTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PRIMARY | 50 DELEGATES Charles Walker . . . 32.9% [19 delegates] Katherine McCord . . . 32.5% [18 delegates] George Kuykendall . . . 20.2% [13 delegates] David Rollins . . . 14.4% NEVADA REPUBLICAN PRIMARY | 30 DELEGATES Katherine McCord . . . 46.7% [16 delegates] George Kuykendall . . . 24.5% [8 delegates] David Rollins . . . 15.7% [6 delegates] Charles Walker . . . 13.1% DELEGATE COUNT Elizabeth McCord - 44 Charles Walker - 34 George Kuykendall - 31 David Rollins - 24 IOWA DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS | 51 DELEGATES Doug Murphy . . . 49.5% [28 delegates] Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 37.6% [23 delegates] Camilo deSonido . . . 12.9% NEW HAMPSHIRE DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY | 42 DELEGATES Doug Murphy . . . 42.3% [18 delegates] Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 39.2% [16 delegates] Camilo deSonido . . . 18.5% [8 delegates] SOUTH CAROLINA DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY | 59 DELEGATES Doug Murphy . . . 47.5% [32 delegates] Camilo deSonido . . . 38.7% [27 delegates] Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 13.8% NEVADA DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS | 43 DELEGATES Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 45.4% [20 delegates] Doug Murphy . . . 39.3% [17 delegates] Camilo deSonido . . . 15.3% [6 delegates] DELEGATE COUNT Doug Murphy - 95 Xiomara de la Cruz - 59 Camilo deSonido - 41 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMH Posted March 13 Author Share Posted March 13 PRE-SUPER TUESDAY ENDORSEMENTS Who's Supporting Who? Katherine McCord picked up the endorsement of Senator and 2008 Republican Presidential Nominee John McCain (R-AZ), former Governor Rick Perry (R-TX), former Governor Jon Huntsman Jr (R-UT), and former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice (R-CA). Charles Walker picked up the endorsement of former NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R-NY), former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-GA), former Congresswoman Michele Bachmann (R-MN), and Governor Paul LePage (R-ME). David Rollins picked up the endorsement of former Governor and 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee Mitt Romney (R-MA), former Governor Tim Pawlenty (R-MN), Governor Sam Brownback (R-KS), and Governor Scott Walker (R-WI). George Kuykendall picked up the endorsement of former Senator Rick Santorum (R-PA), NRA CEO Wayne LaPierre, Governor Rick Snyder (R-MI), and former Governor Bobby Jindal (R-LA). Doug Murphy picked up the endorsement of former Vice President Al Gore (D-TN), Governor Mark Dayton (D-MN), Governor Terry McAuliffe (D-VA), and former Governor Deval Patrick (D-MA). Xiomara de la Cruz picked up the endorsement of former NYC Mayor Michael Bloomberg (D-NY), Governor John Hickenlooper (D-CO), Governor Steve Bullock (D-MT), and Senator Cory Booker (D-NJ). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMH Posted March 13 Author Share Posted March 13 2016 Presidential Super Tuesday Polls | February 2016 2016 Democratic Super Tuesday Polling Alabama 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Murphy ... 37.5% de la Cruz ... 29.3% deSonido ... 18.5% Alaska 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary de la Cruz ... 39.9% Murphy ... 32.4% deSonido ... 17.6% American Samoa 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary de la Cruz ... 26.6% deSonido ... 21.8% Murphy ... 20.7% Arkansas 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Murphy ... 35.3% de la Cruz ... 27.6% deSonido ... 15.4% California 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary deSonido ... 31.8% de la Cruz ... 29.9% Murphy ... 27.7% Colorado 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary deSonido ... 35.4% Murphy ... 29.8% de la Cruz ... 20.2% Georgia 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Murphy ... 34.7% de la Cruz ... 28.1% deSonido ... 23.9% Maine 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Murphy ... 34.4% de la Cruz ... 30.7% deSonido ... 22.2% Massachusetts 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Murphy ... 36.6% deSonido ... 33.8% de la Cruz ... 18.7% Michigan 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary de la Cruz ... 33.8% Murphy ... 31.4% deSonido ... 23.4% Minnesota 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Murphy ... 36.6% de la Cruz ... 28.7% deSonido ... 19.9% North Carolina 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Murphy ... 33.8% deSonido ... 26.5% de la Cruz ... 22.4% Oklahoma 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary de la Cruz ... 39.9% Murphy ... 29.6% deSonido ... 16.7% Puerto Rico 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary de la Cruz ... 32.7% deSonido ... 30.4% Murphy ... 28.9% Tennessee 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Murphy ... 33.6% de la Cruz ... 30.5% deSonido ... 25.3% Texas 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary de la Cruz ... 35.2% Murphy ... 30.3% deSonido ... 24.9% Utah 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary de la Cruz ... 38.8% Murphy ... 31.4% deSonido ... 19.4% Vermont 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary deSonido ... 37.8% Murphy ... 29.7% de la Cruz ... 24.5% Virginia 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Murphy ... 34.7% de la Cruz ... 31.2% deSonido ... 23.6% 2016 Republican Super Tuesday Polling Alabama 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Walker ... 31.4% McCord ... 25.6% Rollins ... 19.7% Kuykendall ... 15.2% Alaska 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Kuykendall ... 25.6% McCord ... 24.2% Walker ... 20.7% Rollins ... 18.8% American Samoa 2016 Republican Presidential Primary McCord ... 29.6% Walker ... 26.9% Rollins ... 19.9% Kuykendall ... 18.2% Arkansas 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Walker ... 32.4% McCord ... 25.5% Rollins ... 23.4% Kuykendall ... 15.6% California 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Walker ... 27.7% McCord ... 27.2% Kuykendall ... 21.1% Rollins ... 18.7% Colorado 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Kuykendall ... 29.4% McCord ... 27.6% Rollins ... 21.1% Walker ... 16.6% Georgia 2016 Republican Presidential Primary McCord ... 31.4% Walker ... 27.7% Rollins ... 20.2% Kuykendall ... 18.8% Maine 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Rollins ... 31.1% McCord ... 25.5% Walker ... 20.2% Kuykendall ... 17.8% Massachusetts 2016 Republican Presidential Primary McCord ... 29.7% Walker ... 23.3% Rollins ... 19.6% Kuykendall ... 15.2% Michigan 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Walker ... 29.8% McCord ... 27.3% Rollins ... 23.5% Kuykendall ... 18.9% Minnesota 2016 Republican Presidential Primary McCord ... 30.2% Rollins ... 27.8% Walker ... 21.3% Kuykendall ... 16.6% North Carolina 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Walker ... 28.8% McCord ... 26.4% Rollins ... 19.9% Kuykendall ... 17.6% Oklahoma 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Rollins ... 27.7% Kuykendall ... 24.4% Walker ... 19.9% McCord ... 17.3% Puerto Rico 2016 Republican Presidential Primary McCord ... 31.1% Walker ... 26.5% Rollins ... 18.4% Kuykendall ... 16.2% Tennessee 2016 Republican Presidential Primary McCord ... 30.3% Walker ... 27.7% Kuykendall ... 22.3% Rollins ... 17.6% Texas 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Walker ... 28.8% Rollins ... 26.2% McCord ... 21.5% Kuykendall ... 16.7% Utah 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Rollins ... 33.3% McCord ... 25.5% Kuykendall ... 20.3% Walker ... 15.4% Vermont 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Rollins ... 31.1% McCord ... 27.5% Kuykendall ... 21.3% Walker ... 20.2% Virginia 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Walker ... 31.3% McCord ... 30.5% Rollins ... 22.3% Kuykendall ... 15.7% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMH Posted March 18 Author Share Posted March 18 2016 SUPER TUESDAY STATE RESULTS Alabama - DEM Murphy ... 56.6% (34) de la Cruz ... 43.4% (26) Alaska - DEM de la Cruz ... 55.4% (11) Murphy ... 44.6% (9) American Samoa - DEM Murphy ... 58.8% (6) de la Cruz ... 41.2% (5) Arkansas - DEM Murphy ... 61.1% (23) de la Cruz ... 38.9% (15) California - DEM de la Cruz ... 57.7% (318) Murphy ... 42.3% (233) Colorado - DEM Murphy ... 54.3% (42) de la Cruz ... 45.6% (36) Georgia - DEM Murphy ... 57.9% (68) de la Cruz ... 42.1% (49) Maine - DEM Murphy ... 53.6% (16) de la Cruz ... 46.4% (14) Massachusetts - DEM Murphy ... 58.3% (67) de la Cruz ... 41.7% (48) Michigan - DEM Murphy ... 50.6% (74) de la Cruz ... 49.4% (73) Minnesota - DEM Murphy ... 53.3% (50) de la Cruz ... 46.7% (43) North Carolina - DEM Murphy ... 51.5% (62) de la Cruz ... 47.5% (59) Oklahoma - DEM de la Cruz ... 61.6% (26) Murphy ... 38.4% (16) Puerto Rico - DEM de la Cruz ... 58.2% (39) Murphy ... 41.8% (28) Tennessee - DEM Murphy ... 59.7% (45) de la Cruz ... 40.3% (30) Texas - DEM de la Cruz ... 55.9% (150) Murphy ... 44.1% (101) Utah - DEM de la Cruz ... 57.8% (21) Murphy ... 42.2% (16) Vermont - DEM Murphy ... 57.3% (15) de la Cruz ... 42.7% (11) Virginia - DEM Murphy ... 52.2% (56) de la Cruz ... 47.8% (52) TOTAL DELEGATES de la Cruz - 1,085 Murphy - 1,056 Alabama - GOP Kuykendall ... 45.9% (23) McCord ... 37.2% (19) Rollins ... 16.9% (8) Alaska - GOP Kuykendall ... 51.5% (14) McCord ... 29.7% (8) Rollins ... 18.7% (6) American Samoa - GOP McCord ... 43.4% (4) Rollins ... 31.6% (3) Kuykendall ... 25.0% (2) Arkansas - GOP McCord ... 43.7% (17) Rollins ... 33.9% (14) Kuykendall ... 22.4% (9) California - GOP McCord ... 51.7% (89) Rollins ... 37.6% (83) Kuykendall ... 10.7 (0) Colorado - GOP McCord ... 38.1% (14) Kuykendall ... 37.2% (14) Rollins ... 24.7% (9) Georgia - GOP McCord - 44.5% (39) Rollins ... 30.4% (37) Kuykendall - 14.1% (0) Maine - GOP Rollins ... 51.6% (13) McCord ... 38.5% (10) Kuykendall ... 9.9% (0) Massachusetts - GOP McCord ... 45.8% (19) Rollins ... 35.7% (15) Kuykendall ... 18.5% (8) Michigan - GOP Rollins ... 42.2% (25) McCord ... 37.5% (22) Kuykendall ... 20.3% (12) Minnesota - GOP Rollins ... 49.4% (19) Kuykendall ... 26.6% (10) McCord ... 24.0% (9) North Carolina - GOP McCord ... 48.8% (39) Rollins ... 38.7% (32) Kuykendall ... 12.5% (0) Oklahoma - GOP Kuykendall ... 52.3% (25) Rollins ... 38.5% (18) McCord ... 9.2% (0) Puerto Rico - GOP McCord ... 50.4% (12) Rollins ... 26.7% (6) Kuykendall ... 22.9% (5) Tennessee - GOP Kuykendall ... 37.7% (22) McCord ... 31.5% (18) Rollins ... 30.8% (18) Texas - GOP Rollins ... 41.9% (65) McCord ... 35.7% (55) Kuykendall ... 20.6% (35) Utah - GOP Rollins ... 51.9% (23) McCord ... 38.6% (17) Kuykendall ... 9.5% (0) Vermont - GOP Rollins ... 55.7% (9) McCord ... 26.8% (4) Kuykendall ... 17.5% (3) Virginia - GOP McCord ... 46.6% (26) Rollins ... 41.7% (23) Kuykendall ... 11.7% (0) TOTAL DELEGATES McCord - 455 Rollins - 450 Kuykendall - 213 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 POTUS FUNDRAISING, GENERAL ELECTION 1 PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION FUNDING Xiomara de la Cruz raised $82,000,000.00 from The Bu Foundation, Unions, Micheal Bloomberg, and grassroots liberal voters and organizations. Katherine McCord raised $76,000,000.00 from The Ross Foundation, Wall Street, Defense contractors, and grassroots conservative voters and organizations. DE LA CRUZ LEADS FUNDRAISING RACE AGAINST MCCORD AHEAD OF GENERAL ELECTION SHOWDOWN In a compelling twist ahead of the general election, Democratic Presidential Nominee Xiomara de la Cruz has managed to outpace her Republican counterpart, Katherine McCord, in a fundraising showdown that hints at a fiercely contested race. Recent financial disclosures reveal de la Cruz's campaign chest has swollen to a remarkable $82 million, edging out McCord's formidable $76 million tally. This financial supremacy of de la Cruz, with McCord trailing closely behind, accentuates the fierce rivalry and elevated stakes of this landmark electoral battle. The financial prowess of de la Cruz has been bolstered significantly by contributions from unions, vigorous grassroots campaigns, Michael Bloomberg, and a cadre of other substantial benefactors. Her strategy, focusing on securing hefty donations from a wide and varied supporter base, has catapulted her to a financial vantage point over her rival, who has banked on moderate-sized grassroots contributions. Conversely, Katherine McCord, despite lagging slightly in the fundraising race, has showcased her formidable financial acumen. Her knack for transforming modest grassroots donations into significant campaign funds evidences robust support within the Republican ranks and among conservative patrons. Notably, McCord's campaign has gained momentum from her strategic choice of running mate. Together, they have seamlessly attracted substantial financial backing from Wall Street and the defense sector, capitalizing on their notable records in foreign and military affairs without necessitating direct solicitation. As the showdown between de la Cruz and McCord looms, their amassed war chests are set to play a crucial role in framing the campaign discourse and swaying the electoral verdict. With the campaigns poised for an exhaustive contest, de la Cruz's current monetary lead might just be the leverage she needs to steer the narrative in her favor in the ensuing months. This fiscal duel underscores not just the candidates' strategic divergences but also the overarching significance of campaign financing in steering the dynamics of American presidential politics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMH Posted March 19 Author Share Posted March 19 Congressional/Gubernatorial General Election Round One Polling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMH Posted March 19 Author Share Posted March 19 2016 Presidential General Election Round One Polling September, 2016 | President: General Election, National AUGUST TO SEPTEMBER Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 44% Katherine McCord . . . 42% MoE of 4% (+/-) Sample of Recent Polls Fox News: de la Cruz +1 Ipsos: Ross de la Cruz +2 ABC/WaPo: de la Cruz +3 September, 2016 | President: General Election, Arizona AUGUST TO SEPTEMBER Katherine McCord . . . 48% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 43% MoE of 4% (+/-) September, 2016 | President: General Election, Colorado AUGUST TO SEPTEMBER Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 48% Katherine McCord . . . 42% MoE of 4% (+/-) September, 2016 | President: General Election, Georgia AUGUST TO SEPTEMBER Katherine McCord . . . 48% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 43% MoE of 4% (+/-) September, 2016 | President: General Election, Florida AUGUST TO SEPTEMBER Katherine McCord . . . 45% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 44% MoE of 4% (+/-) September, 2016 | President: General Election, Iowa AUGUST TO SEPTEMBER Katherine McCord . . . 44% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 42% MoE of 4% (+/-) September, 2016 | President: General Election, Indiana AUGUST TO SEPTEMBER Katherine McCord . . . 48% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 43% MoE of 4% (+/-) September, 2016 | President: General Election, Maine AUGUST TO SEPTEMBER Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 46% Katherine McCord . . . 42% MoE of 4% (+/-) September, 2016 | President: General Election, Minnesota AUGUST TO SEPTEMBER Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 46% Katherine McCord . . . 41% MoE of 4% (+/-) September, 2016 | President: General Election, Michigan AUGUST TO SEPTEMBER Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 44% Katherine McCord . . . 43% MoE of 4% (+/-) September, 2016 | President: General Election, Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District AUGUST TO SEPTEMBER Katherine McCord . . . 47% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 43% MoE of 4% (+/-) September, 2016 | President: General Election, Nevada AUGUST TO SEPTEMBER Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 46% Katherine McCord . . . 44% MoE of 4% (+/-) September, 2016 | President: General Election, New Hampshire AUGUST TO SEPTEMBER Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 44% Katherine McCord . . . 43% MoE of 4% (+/-) September, 2016 | President: General Election, New Mexico AUGUST TO SEPTEMBER Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 48% Katherine McCord . . . 41% MoE of 4% (+/-) September, 2016 | President: General Election, North Carolina AUGUST TO SEPTEMBER Katherine McCord . . . 46% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 43% MoE of 4% (+/-) September, 2016 | President: General Election, Ohio AUGUST TO SEPTEMBER Katherine McCord . . . 45% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 43% MoE of 4% (+/-) September, 2016 | President: General Election, Pennsylvania AUGUST TO SEPTEMBER Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 46% Katherine McCord . . . 45% MoE of 4% (+/-) September, 2016 | President: General Election, Texas AUGUST TO SEPTEMBER Katherine McCord . . . 48% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 42% MoE of 4% (+/-) September, 2016 | President: General Election, Virginia AUGUST TO SEPTEMBER Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 48% Katherine McCord . . . 43% MoE of 4% (+/-) September, 2016 | President: General Election, Wisconsin AUGUST TO SEPTEMBER Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 46% Katherine McCord . . . 44% MoE of 4% (+/-) A Quick Look at the Map Lean Republican Arizona Georgia Indiana Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District Texas Lean Democrat Colorado Minnesota New Mexico Virginia True Swings Florida Iowa Maine Michigan Nevada North Carolina New Hampshire Ohio Pennsylvania Wisconsin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMH Posted March 22 Author Share Posted March 22 2016 Presidential General Election Round Two Polling October, 2016 | President: General Election, National OCTOBER TO NOVEMBER Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 47% Katherine McCord . . . 45% MoE of 4% (+/-) Sample of Recent Polls Fox News: de la Cruz +1 Ipsos: Even ABC/WaPo: de la Cruz +3 October, 2016 | President: General Election, Florida OCTOBER TO NOVEMBER Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 48% Katherine McCord . . . 46% MoE of 4% (+/-) October, 2016 | President: General Election, Iowa OCTOBER TO NOVEMBER Katherine McCord . . . 47% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 44% MoE of 4% (+/-) October, 2016 | President: General Election, Michigan OCTOBER TO NOVEMBER Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 49% Katherine McCord . . . 45% MoE of 4% (+/-) October, 2016 | President: General Election, Nevada OCTOBER TO NOVEMBER Katherine McCord . . . 48% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 46% MoE of 4% (+/-) October, 2016 | President: General Election, New Hampshire OCTOBER TO NOVEMBER Katherine McCord . . . 48% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 45% MoE of 4% (+/-) October, 2016 | President: General Election, North Carolina OCTOBER TO NOVEMEBR Katherine McCord . . . 47% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 44% MoE of 4% (+/-) October, 2016 | President: General Election, Ohio OCTOBER TO NOVEMBER Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 47% Katherine McCord . . . 46% MoE of 4% (+/-) October, 2016 | President: General Election, Pennsylvania OCTOBER TO NOVEMBER Katherine McCord . . . 47% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 47% MoE of 4% (+/-) October, 2016 | President: General Election, Texas OCTOBER TO NOVEMBER Katherine McCord . . . 46% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 43% MoE of 4% (+/-) October, 2016 | President: General Election, Wisconsin OCTOBER TO NOVEMBER Katherine McCord . . . 46% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 46% MoE of 4% (+/-) A Quick Look at the Map Lean Republican Texas North Carolina New Hampshire Iowa Lean Democrat Michigan True Swings Florida Nevada Ohio Pennsylvania Wisconsin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 POTUS FUNDRAISING, GENERAL ELECTION ROUND 2 PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION FUNDING Xiomara de la Cruz raised $83,000,000.00 from top democrat donors, Michael Bloomberg, high dollar fundraisers hosted by Clinton, Obama, and Beyonce. Katherine McCord raised $79,000,000.00 from top republican donors, energy groups, and grassroots activists. DE LA CRUZ LEADS FUNDRAISING RACE AGAINST MCCORD AHEAD OF GENERAL ELECTION SHOWDOWN The 2016 Presidential Election is no just any political showdown; it is the showdown of the century as two formidable women, Xiomara de la Cruz and Katherine McCord vie to become the first female leader of the free world. As the race intensifies, the spotlight not only shines on the candidates themselves but also on the intricate dynamics of fundraising that fuel their campaigns. The fundraising strategies employed by both candidates reflect broader trends within their respective parties. Democrats have traditionally relied on a network of wealthy donors and celebrity endorsements to drive their fundraising efforts, leveraging connections within Hollywood, Silicon Valley, and Wall Street. On the other hand, McCord have often emphasized support from corporate interests, conservative donors, and grassroots activism. Both ladies are making waves in the political arena with their impressive fundraising efforts, racking in millions of dollars to push their campaigns' over the finish line. De la Cruz, however, is still winning the money game, pulling no punches. In the latest fundraising push, the de la Cruz/Murphy campaign secured millions from Democrat megadonors like Michael Bloomberg. Her campaign has also. received a significant boost in funding with the support of key figures such as Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, and even music icon Beyonce, all joining forces to help propel her fundraising drive. McCord, however, has made waves in her own way, depending less on megadonors and more on grassroots. Don't get us wrong, McCord has used megadonors and energy groups, but the majority of her campaign's funding has come from grassroots activists. Not bad to use megadonors, as McCord would have trailed de la Cruz by tens of millions if she relied just on grassroots fundraising. The financial landscape of the 2016 election also highlights the evolving role of money in politics. While megadonors and large-scale contributions continue to play a significant role, the rise of digital platforms and social media has democratized fundraising to some extent, allowing candidates like McCord to tap into a wider pool of individual donors. As the campaign trail unfolds, the intricate dance of fundraising will remain a crucial aspect of the candidates' strategies. Both de la Cruz and McCord are acutely aware of the financial challenges and opportunities that lie ahead, recognizing that a well-funded campaign can translate into critical advantages in terms of messaging, voter outreach, and overall competitiveness. Ultimately, the 2024 election represents not just a battle of ideologies and policies but also a test of fundraising prowess and strategic acumen. The outcome of this historic race will not only determine the next occupant of the White House but also shape the future trajectory of American politics for years to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMH Posted March 24 Author Share Posted March 24 Congressional/Gubernatorial General Election Round Two Polling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMH Posted April 4 Author Share Posted April 4 2016 General Election Final Results Xiomara de la Cruz (D-TX)/Doug Murphy (D-WI) - 292 Electoral Votes - 50.8% Popular Vote Katherine McCord (R-SC)/Charles Walker (R-CA) - 246 Electoral Votes - 48.9% Popular Vote President: General Election, National Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 50.8% Katherine McCord . . . 48.9% President: General Election, Florida Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 50.7% Katherine McCord . . . 49.3% President: General Election, Iowa Katherine McCord . . . 53.3% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 46.7% President: General Election, Michigan Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 56.5% Katherine McCord . . . 43.5% President: General Election, Nevada Katherine McCord . . . 52.3% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 47.7% President: General Election, New Hampshire Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 51.4% Katherine McCord . . . 48.6% President: General Election, North Carolina Katherine McCord . . . 55.6% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 44.4% President: General Election, Ohio Katherine McCord . . . 51.4% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 48.6% President: General Election, Pennsylvania Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 51.1% Katherine McCord . . . 48.9% President: General Election, Texas Katherine McCord . . . 54.8% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 45.2% President: General Election, Wisconsin Katherine McCord . . . 51.2% Xiomara de la Cruz . . . 48.8% Notable Trends: - Woman Vote Reaches Record High: With female nominees heading the top of both major tickets, the 2016 Presidential Election saw record turnout among woman voters. Women made up 57% of the electorate in 2016 and were instrumental in key victories for both tickets. - Historic Hispanic Turnout: Turnout for Hispanic Americans reached a historic high of 55.6% percent of eligible Hispanic voters casting ballots in the 2016 Presidential Election. Previous turnout has hovered in the mid-30s range in past cycles. This attributed to combination of Xiomara de la Cruz inspiring Hispanic Americans to vote for her campaign due to her background and a concentrated effort by the McCord Campaign in Florida to turn out a record number of Cuban Americans. - Entitlement Reform for Seniors: Campaigns focused on entitlement reform continue to see more senior engagement. Promises of protecting Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security resonate with the majority of senior voters. Democrats continue to hold an edge with voters on which party would better protect entitlements. - Union Strength: Labor unions played a significant role in elevating Xiomara de la Cruz to the presidency in 2016. While union participation remains at historic lows nationwide, prominent unions like the AFL-CIO and United Auto Workers provided significant grassroots support in key swing states like Michigan and Pennsylvania. - The Blue Wall Holds (Partially): The "Blue Wall" of Rust Belt states somewhat held in the 2016 which two major defections. Democratic pundits have argued that Ohio and Wisconsin, two states flipped to the GOP in the election, have been trending more Republican than Michigan and Pennsylvania. While Democrats have kept victories in Ohio and Wisconsin to a small margin, Republicans could make future gains as the states trend red. - Veteran Rallying Cry: The 2016 Presidential Election pit the first two female presidential candidates of major parties against one another. Both veterans of the Air Force, and accompanied by veteran VP nominees, the election cycle saw historic veteran participation and elevation of veteran issues in the wider political conversation. Some pundits have credited the election cycle with bringing renewed awareness to veteran mental health, veteran homelessness, and VA care. - Battle for the Suburbs: Both major campaigns fought aggressively to court suburban voters as they worked to churn out base city and rural voters respectively. While Republicans have traditionally had an edge in the suburbs, Xiomara de la Cruz and Doug Murphy were able to make it a real fight. Issues like education and the ACA proved to be salient with these voters. - GOP Makes Inroads with Religious Minority Voters: While Xiomara de la Cruz won Hispanic Americans by a decisive 71% to 29% and generally won majorities with different minority groups, a key area of success for the McCord Campaign was strategic investment and attention to conservative Catholic Hispanic voters and some conservative evangelical Black communities, particularly in North Carolina and Nevada, allowing Katherine McCord to crack 10% of the African American vote nationally. - Asian American Turnout Stagnant: Asian American turnout remained relatively steady compared to 2012. Neither campaign made a major effort to court this growing voter group, particularly in key battleground states. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMH Posted April 4 Author Share Posted April 4 2016 Congressional/Gubernatorial Results U.S. Senate: 50 (D) - 49 (R) [1 Pending Special Election] U.S. House of Representatives: 232 (R) - 202 (D) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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